I did not attend Copenhagen but I did follow news stories from many sources. Below are some of the more widely held conclusions as well as a quick analysis of what this means for energy efficiency, REDD, and energy poverty alleviation.
1. A deal appeared to be within striking distance but it was scuttled by one of the BASIC countries for political reasons.
2. Any future, meaningful agreement will likely arise through a non-UN framework
3. All the heavy CO2 hitters, with the exception of China, came very, very close to reaching a meaningful agreement.
4. The big looser in all this is Europe, who had to tow the US line as it watched its global influence wane in favor of the emerging, so-called BASIC countries.
5. All the major CO2 polluters will continue to carryout their established climate change and CO2 abatement policies.
6. A final deal regarding commitments to caps and financing are not likely to happen in 2010.
7. The US, Europe, Japan have commited $10 billion over the next three years to fund green tech transfer and adaptation for developing countries.
8. The next goal is to get all major CO2 polluters to sign up to firm caps on their emissions at a January 31st summit in Mexico.
9. The US, through the Dpt. of Energy, has pledged $100 million to fund energy efficency funding in the developing world.
10. Major polluters, including China, agreed to external verification of actions to curb emissions.
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