In no particular order, here are my top ten predictions for the year.
1. The US Senate will consider levying taxes against India and China in an effort to “level” the playing field with these top CO2 polluters.
2. In the absence of a binding agreement on curbing global greenhouse gas emissions, governments will look inward at more aggressive actions that will independently reduce the various “wedges” that make up the global emissions pie.
3. There will be a major push to implement more aggressive energy efficiency measures in developing countries
4. After all the posturing and politicking of Copenhagen, progress will be made to establish a framework outside the UN context to protect the CO2-sequestering capacity of tropical forests through compensation mechanisms.
5. The US will lead in alleviating energy poverty in developing countries, which is why The Charcoal Project will work hard this year to put on the agenda a crash program in energy efficiency for stoves, kilns, and alternative biomass fuels.
6. The US Congress will pass meaningful legislation designed to curb emissions
7. The US will embrace the development of green technology/clean energy challenge against competitors like China, Japan, and Europe.
8. A series of countries, mostly in Sub-Saharan Africa, will begin to consider large-scale biomass energy-efficiency programs.
9. In the context of forest protection, ideas will be floated designed to regulate the commercial trade of charcoal across borders. (See our post)
10. By December 31st, The Charcoal Project will have solidly established itself as an actor in the field of biomass energy-efficiency!
Yes, 2010 will be better than 2009.
Kim
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